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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.56+3.91vs Predicted
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2Bentley University0.02+2.16vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.56+1.91vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.85-0.99vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.71-1.76vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.76-2.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.560.0%1st Place
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4.16Bentley University0.020.1%1st Place
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4.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.560.0%1st Place
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3.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.850.2%1st Place
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3.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.710.2%1st Place
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3.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.760.2%1st Place
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2.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perez | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 53.5% | 0.0% |
| Kristina Schneider | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 26.4% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 53.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Vernacchia | 19.9% | 21.8% | 20.8% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Crowe | 17.3% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 22.1% | 16.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Colson | 16.7% | 17.9% | 19.7% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Cali Warner | 33.5% | 26.2% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.