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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+1.57vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.30+2.26vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59-0.07vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.48-0.07vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.46-1.98vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.33-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57University of Rhode Island1.8029.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Rhode Island0.309.4%1st Place
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2.93Northeastern University1.5922.4%1st Place
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3.93Boston University0.4810.3%1st Place
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3.02Salve Regina University0.4619.7%1st Place
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4.3Brown University0.339.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 29.1% | 25.2% | 19.8% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 20.7% | 31.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 22.4% | 21.4% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 5.6% |
| William Wiegand | 10.3% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 22.3% | 21.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 19.7% | 21.7% | 21.6% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
| Keller Morrison | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 22.8% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.