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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University1.14+1.45vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.51+1.42vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-0.02+1.30vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.61-0.73vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.65+0.23vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.85-0.53vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University0.17-3.02vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-3.96-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Purdue University1.140.3%1st Place
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3.42Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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4.3Northern Michigan University-0.020.1%1st Place
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3.27Michigan Technological University0.610.2%1st Place
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5.23Hope College-0.650.0%1st Place
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5.47Western Michigan University-0.850.0%1st Place
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3.98Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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7.88Michigan State University-3.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Pollock | 33.8% | 25.6% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Greve | 16.3% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Betsy Grant | 9.8% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 12.3% | 0.6% |
| Abigail Skibowski | 18.1% | 19.8% | 19.5% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Scott Brandonisio | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 24.9% | 28.5% | 2.2% |
| Kevin Luther | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 38.1% | 2.3% |
| David Gates | 13.0% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 0.3% |
| Vikram Harichandran | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 94.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.