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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.30+2.32vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+0.01vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.48-0.15vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.59-2.07vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.33-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of Rhode Island1.8030.3%1st Place
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4.32University of Rhode Island0.307.1%1st Place
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3.01Salve Regina University0.4619.6%1st Place
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3.85Boston University0.4812.0%1st Place
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2.93Northeastern University1.5922.7%1st Place
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4.31Brown University0.338.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 30.3% | 23.2% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| Willem Weinberg | 7.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 24.1% | 31.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 19.6% | 22.1% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 12.8% | 6.1% |
| William Wiegand | 12.0% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 20.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 22.7% | 20.6% | 20.9% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 5.5% |
| Keller Morrison | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 21.1% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.