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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.66+2.10vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University-0.44+5.15vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.34+3.85vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.99+4.92vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-0.17vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.47-2.57vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-0.72+1.24vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.81vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.32-2.32vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College-0.86-1.31vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-1.20-1.71vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.93-3.10vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester-0.54-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Washington College1.6625.8%1st Place
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7.15Monmouth University-0.444.3%1st Place
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6.85University of Virginia-0.345.9%1st Place
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8.92Syracuse University-0.993.1%1st Place
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4.83Rochester Institute of Technology0.4911.2%1st Place
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3.43Hampton University1.4722.0%1st Place
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8.24Rutgers University-0.723.6%1st Place
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7.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.285.1%1st Place
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6.68Princeton University-0.326.0%1st Place
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8.69Ocean County College-0.863.2%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Military Academy-1.202.5%1st Place
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8.9Drexel University-0.932.9%1st Place
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7.71University of Rochester-0.544.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 25.8% | 21.2% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Maxwell Penders | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Collin Ross | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 15.2% |
| Cole Bender | 11.2% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 22.0% | 20.2% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
| Brendan Strein | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Keaton Rose | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% |
| Henry Jensen | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 22.8% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 17.4% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.