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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University1.14+1.45vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.65+3.30vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.51+0.40vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University0.17-0.02vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.61-1.75vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.02-1.78vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.85-1.45vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-3.96-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Purdue University1.140.3%1st Place
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5.3Hope College-0.650.1%1st Place
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3.4Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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3.98Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.25Michigan Technological University0.610.2%1st Place
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4.22Northern Michigan University-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.55Western Michigan University-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.85Michigan State University-3.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Pollock | 34.4% | 24.7% | 18.7% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Scott Brandonisio | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 25.1% | 29.7% | 3.2% |
| Jack Greve | 17.3% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| David Gates | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 7.7% | 0.4% |
| Abigail Skibowski | 18.1% | 21.0% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Betsy Grant | 10.1% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Luther | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 39.8% | 3.1% |
| Vikram Harichandran | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 4.1% | 92.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.