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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.66+2.03vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+2.60vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.32+3.35vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+2.75vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.34+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.54+1.32vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.44-0.13vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.99+0.37vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College-0.86-1.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-1.20-1.29vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.93-2.62vs Predicted
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12Hampton University1.47-8.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Washington College1.6626.9%1st Place
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4.6Rochester Institute of Technology0.4912.5%1st Place
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6.35Princeton University-0.326.7%1st Place
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6.75SUNY Stony Brook-0.284.7%1st Place
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6.29University of Virginia-0.346.2%1st Place
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7.32University of Rochester-0.544.1%1st Place
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6.87Monmouth University-0.444.7%1st Place
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8.37Syracuse University-0.992.7%1st Place
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7.99Ocean County College-0.863.6%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Military Academy-1.202.1%1st Place
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8.38Drexel University-0.932.9%1st Place
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3.36Hampton University1.4722.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 26.9% | 21.6% | 17.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 12.5% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Brendan Strein | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Maxwell Penders | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% |
| Patrick Cashin | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Collin Ross | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 18.4% |
| Keaton Rose | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.1% |
| Henry Jensen | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 21.9% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 18.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 22.9% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.