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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.61+2.36vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.85+3.75vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.51+0.61vs Predicted
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4Purdue University1.14-1.34vs Predicted
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5Hope College0.19-0.91vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.02-1.53vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University0.17-2.83vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-3.96-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Michigan Technological University0.610.2%1st Place
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5.75Western Michigan University-0.850.0%1st Place
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3.61Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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2.66Purdue University1.140.3%1st Place
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4.09Hope College0.190.1%1st Place
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4.47Northern Michigan University-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.17Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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7.88Michigan State University-3.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abigail Skibowski | 19.1% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Luther | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 47.1% | 4.5% |
| Jack Greve | 16.2% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 5.0% | 0.2% |
| Grant Pollock | 28.9% | 25.7% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Rybar I | 10.9% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 17.3% | 9.8% | 0.2% |
| Betsy Grant | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 15.9% | 0.6% |
| David Gates | 11.7% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 0.3% |
| Vikram Harichandran | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 94.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.