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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.31+1.10vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University2.38+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.18+2.89vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.25-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.38+2.71vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago0.60+1.26vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.08+3.31vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University1.25-3.32vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-0.90+0.13vs Predicted
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11Denison University-0.41-1.71vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University0.91-5.35vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame1.25-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Wisconsin3.310.4%1st Place
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3.47Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.89University of Michigan1.180.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Minnesota2.250.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Chicago0.600.0%1st Place
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10.31Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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5.68Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Saint Thomas-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.29Denison University-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.65Ohio State University0.910.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Notre Dame1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Evensen | 42.0% | 28.5% | 16.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 15.1% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Beriont | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Thompson | 14.2% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Gay | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 4.4% |
| Paul Kaplan | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Colleen Mooney | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 22.6% | 41.5% |
| Aras Karaitis | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Eric Miller | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 16.6% | 25.5% | 32.4% |
| William Jaquinde | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 23.5% | 17.0% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.