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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+5.04vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.10+3.81vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.52+1.93vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.70+3.21vs Predicted
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5Rice University0.91-0.96vs Predicted
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6Indiana University1.19-2.14vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.21-1.19vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.31-0.77vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.45-1.26vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.37-2.86vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.49-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.027.4%1st Place
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5.81University of New Hampshire0.108.7%1st Place
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4.93Clemson University0.5212.1%1st Place
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7.21Bates College-0.705.5%1st Place
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4.04Rice University0.9118.2%1st Place
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3.86Indiana University1.1917.5%1st Place
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5.81Marquette University0.218.2%1st Place
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7.23Hope College-0.315.2%1st Place
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7.74Bentley University-0.454.3%1st Place
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7.14Middlebury College-0.374.8%1st Place
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6.19Purdue University-0.498.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Delong | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% |
Sam Harris | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
Luke Adams | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
Colby Green | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 18.0% |
Ricky Miller | 18.2% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Nithya Balachander | 17.5% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
Caroline Henry | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 15.4% |
John O'Connell | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 23.4% |
Penelope Weekes | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.7% |
Nok In Chan | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.