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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.33+1.92vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.26+1.91vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.78-0.63vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University0.36-1.07vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.35+0.60vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.77+0.20vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.94-0.53vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.42-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Western Michigan University0.330.2%1st Place
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3.91Michigan Technological University-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.37Western Michigan University0.780.3%1st Place
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2.93Northern Michigan University0.360.2%1st Place
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5.6Purdue University-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.2Michigan State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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6.47Hope College-1.940.0%1st Place
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5.6Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vytenis Karaitis | 21.1% | 23.5% | 22.3% | 16.9% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Timothy McElreath | 11.3% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Michael Niacaris | 34.8% | 24.9% | 19.9% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Douglas Adamski | 21.9% | 22.9% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Christine McKee | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 21.7% | 21.5% | 15.4% |
| Brenton Sirowatka | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 22.8% | 29.1% |
| Kelly Petrasky | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 23.4% | 39.1% |
| Michael Small | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 22.2% | 21.6% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.