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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.66+2.17vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.19+3.59vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.44+4.15vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.32+2.61vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.47-1.45vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.34-0.41vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-1.00vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-1.20+0.03vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.93-1.33vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-0.54-3.48vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College-0.86-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Washington College1.6625.1%1st Place
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5.59Syracuse University0.198.1%1st Place
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7.15Monmouth University-0.444.2%1st Place
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6.61Princeton University-0.325.9%1st Place
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3.55Hampton University1.4720.7%1st Place
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4.83Rochester Institute of Technology0.4911.6%1st Place
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6.59University of Virginia-0.346.1%1st Place
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7.0SUNY Stony Brook-0.285.9%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Military Academy-1.202.3%1st Place
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8.67Drexel University-0.932.9%1st Place
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7.52University of Rochester-0.544.0%1st Place
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8.28Ocean County College-0.863.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 25.1% | 21.1% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Cashin | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Valerio Palamara | 20.7% | 19.7% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Penders | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| Brendan Strein | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Henry Jensen | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 27.8% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 22.6% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% |
| Keaton Rose | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.