← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Michigan University0.78+1.32vs Predicted
-
2Northern Michigan University0.36+0.93vs Predicted
-
3Michigan Technological University-0.26+0.84vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University0.33-1.02vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-1.35+0.60vs Predicted
-
6Hope College-1.94+0.44vs Predicted
-
7Northern Michigan University-1.42-1.26vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University-1.77-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.32Western Michigan University0.780.3%1st Place
-
2.93Northern Michigan University0.360.2%1st Place
-
3.84Michigan Technological University-0.260.1%1st Place
-
2.98Western Michigan University0.330.2%1st Place
-
5.6Purdue University-1.350.0%1st Place
-
6.44Hope College-1.940.0%1st Place
-
5.74Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
-
6.15Michigan State University-1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Niacaris | 34.9% | 26.6% | 19.5% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Douglas Adamski | 20.7% | 23.6% | 21.9% | 17.1% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Timothy McElreath | 12.1% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 19.9% | 20.8% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 20.9% | 21.5% | 20.7% | 20.6% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Christine McKee | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 22.6% | 22.8% | 14.3% |
| Kelly Petrasky | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 21.6% | 37.9% |
| Michael Small | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 22.5% | 19.5% |
| Brenton Sirowatka | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 21.4% | 24.6% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.