Race 5A

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stewart Gurnell 22.6% 20.6% 17.2% 11.8% 9.2% 8.1% 4.9% 2.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 20.9% 18.4% 17.8% 12.9% 9.8% 8.1% 4.7% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Alexa Whitman 8.5% 8.2% 9.0% 10.3% 11.1% 10.3% 9.4% 9.7% 7.8% 6.7% 4.8% 2.8% 1.2%
Brendan Strein 4.9% 5.6% 5.9% 7.1% 7.4% 8.2% 9.5% 8.1% 9.4% 11.2% 10.3% 6.8% 5.7%
Bryan Lawrence 5.3% 6.4% 7.6% 8.1% 8.5% 8.2% 8.8% 9.8% 10.4% 8.9% 8.0% 6.0% 3.9%
Keaton Rose 3.5% 3.7% 3.5% 4.7% 4.9% 5.0% 7.5% 7.3% 8.2% 9.4% 12.2% 14.0% 16.2%
Patrick Cashin 4.8% 5.9% 5.9% 6.7% 7.3% 8.6% 9.5% 8.6% 9.5% 11.2% 9.6% 7.5% 5.1%
Anish Jayewardene 3.0% 3.5% 4.1% 5.5% 7.0% 5.6% 7.0% 8.3% 9.8% 9.4% 10.3% 13.9% 12.5%
Cole Bender 11.9% 12.0% 10.7% 11.5% 10.7% 11.7% 9.2% 8.0% 5.7% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Abby Eckert 4.3% 3.2% 5.8% 6.3% 6.2% 6.6% 8.2% 9.7% 9.0% 10.7% 10.0% 11.2% 8.8%
Maxwell Penders 5.3% 6.2% 6.5% 7.3% 9.4% 9.4% 9.3% 10.0% 9.7% 8.2% 7.4% 7.1% 4.2%
Henry Jensen 2.1% 2.6% 2.8% 3.5% 4.3% 5.1% 5.8% 6.7% 7.7% 9.3% 11.2% 15.0% 23.9%
Nathaniel Adams 2.9% 3.5% 3.4% 4.3% 4.2% 5.2% 6.2% 8.1% 8.8% 8.9% 12.4% 14.0% 18.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.