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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northern Michigan University0.36+1.81vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.34+0.95vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.35+2.48vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University0.78-1.64vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.40-0.94vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.42-0.38vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.93-0.60vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.94-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Northern Michigan University0.360.2%1st Place
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2.95Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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5.48Purdue University-1.350.0%1st Place
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2.36Western Michigan University0.780.3%1st Place
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4.06Michigan Technological University-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.62Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.4Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.32Hope College-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Adamski | 23.4% | 24.4% | 22.0% | 15.5% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Mabie | 20.9% | 23.0% | 21.7% | 17.4% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Christine McKee | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 21.0% | 14.2% |
| Michael Niacaris | 34.1% | 25.3% | 21.1% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Amy Saelen | 9.6% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 19.7% | 14.9% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Michael Small | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 20.5% | 20.6% | 16.6% |
| Ava Karaitis | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 24.7% | 35.8% |
| Kelly Petrasky | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 24.5% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.