Race 6A

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stewart Gurnell 23.0% 22.4% 17.3% 12.6% 9.1% 6.3% 5.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Valerio Palamara 22.6% 19.0% 16.2% 13.9% 11.6% 7.0% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Brendan Strein 4.5% 5.0% 6.0% 7.4% 8.9% 8.5% 11.1% 10.9% 11.6% 10.8% 9.2% 6.0%
Cole Bender 11.8% 12.5% 12.3% 11.9% 11.6% 12.1% 9.8% 7.0% 6.2% 3.0% 1.5% 0.3%
Abby Eckert 4.4% 5.1% 4.8% 6.3% 7.0% 8.5% 8.3% 10.1% 11.6% 11.5% 12.7% 9.8%
Bryan Lawrence 6.6% 6.0% 7.0% 7.8% 9.4% 10.4% 10.8% 10.5% 10.8% 8.9% 6.9% 5.0%
Alexa Whitman 9.1% 10.3% 11.7% 11.5% 10.3% 11.8% 8.9% 8.5% 7.3% 5.8% 2.9% 1.9%
Maxwell Penders 5.8% 6.1% 7.3% 9.8% 9.3% 10.0% 10.7% 10.8% 9.3% 8.8% 7.8% 4.2%
Keaton Rose 3.2% 3.3% 3.8% 4.2% 6.2% 6.4% 7.2% 9.3% 10.5% 12.0% 16.6% 17.3%
Patrick Cashin 5.1% 4.8% 6.7% 7.2% 7.0% 9.2% 9.3% 11.6% 11.2% 12.1% 9.1% 6.6%
Henry Jensen 1.6% 2.9% 3.0% 2.9% 4.3% 4.8% 5.9% 8.1% 8.5% 12.3% 17.8% 27.7%
Nathaniel Adams 2.3% 2.5% 3.8% 4.4% 5.3% 5.0% 8.2% 8.0% 10.6% 13.4% 15.4% 21.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.