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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+2.67vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+1.37vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.44+4.49vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+1.10vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.72+3.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.54+1.98vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-0.86+1.90vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.34-0.95vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-1.48vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.32-3.07vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.93-1.83vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-1.20-2.33vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.19-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Hampton University1.4720.5%1st Place
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3.37Washington College1.6622.6%1st Place
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7.49Monmouth University-0.444.5%1st Place
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5.1Rochester Institute of Technology0.4910.8%1st Place
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8.44Rutgers University-0.723.5%1st Place
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7.98University of Rochester-0.544.3%1st Place
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8.9Ocean County College-0.863.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Virginia-0.345.2%1st Place
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7.52SUNY Stony Brook-0.285.4%1st Place
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6.93Princeton University-0.326.2%1st Place
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9.17Drexel University-0.933.4%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Military Academy-1.202.4%1st Place
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5.73Syracuse University0.198.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 20.5% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 22.6% | 20.5% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Cashin | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Cole Bender | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 10.6% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% |
| Keaton Rose | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 15.2% |
| Maxwell Penders | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Brendan Strein | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 20.1% |
| Henry Jensen | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 25.8% |
| Alexa Whitman | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.