← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northern Michigan University0.36+1.82vs Predicted
-
2Western Michigan University0.34+0.97vs Predicted
-
3Western Michigan University0.78-0.66vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University-0.40+0.05vs Predicted
-
5Northern Michigan University-1.42+0.63vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University-1.35-0.50vs Predicted
-
7Hope College-1.94-0.59vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University-1.93-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.82Northern Michigan University0.360.2%1st Place
-
2.97Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
-
2.34Western Michigan University0.780.3%1st Place
-
4.05Michigan Technological University-0.400.1%1st Place
-
5.63Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
-
5.5Purdue University-1.350.0%1st Place
-
6.41Hope College-1.940.0%1st Place
-
6.29Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Adamski | 22.4% | 24.9% | 23.2% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Mabie | 20.7% | 22.5% | 21.9% | 17.8% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Niacaris | 34.9% | 26.1% | 20.3% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Amy Saelen | 9.9% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 19.6% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Michael Small | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 21.2% | 16.3% |
| Christine McKee | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 19.6% | 15.1% |
| Kelly Petrasky | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 23.9% | 36.0% |
| Ava Karaitis | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 25.3% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.