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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northern Michigan University0.36+1.40vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-1.35+3.06vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.34-0.53vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-1.42+1.17vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.77+0.78vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.94-0.02vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.26-3.64vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.84-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Northern Michigan University0.360.3%1st Place
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5.06Purdue University-1.350.1%1st Place
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2.47Western Michigan University0.340.3%1st Place
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5.17Northern Michigan University-1.420.1%1st Place
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5.78Michigan State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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5.98Hope College-1.940.0%1st Place
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3.36Michigan Technological University-0.260.2%1st Place
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5.78Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Adamski | 32.6% | 28.0% | 18.9% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christine McKee | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 11.2% |
| Ryan Mabie | 29.6% | 27.5% | 22.1% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Small | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 13.3% |
| Brenton Sirowatka | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 23.7% | 21.5% |
| Kelly Petrasky | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 29.7% |
| Timothy McElreath | 16.4% | 17.8% | 22.8% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Elliott Klose | 2.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.