Race 8A

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stewart Gurnell 23.3% 20.8% 17.1% 13.4% 11.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 21.1% 17.4% 16.6% 14.9% 11.9% 8.0% 4.5% 2.9% 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Maxwell Penders 6.3% 7.0% 7.6% 7.8% 8.6% 9.4% 9.7% 10.6% 11.1% 10.0% 7.5% 4.3%
Brendan Strein 4.5% 6.0% 6.1% 7.7% 8.4% 9.7% 10.5% 11.1% 10.1% 10.4% 10.0% 5.7%
Bryan Lawrence 5.7% 6.5% 7.5% 8.2% 9.6% 11.0% 10.3% 10.2% 10.3% 8.9% 7.5% 4.2%
Abby Eckert 4.2% 4.2% 4.9% 6.7% 6.9% 7.5% 9.6% 10.1% 12.2% 11.9% 11.7% 10.1%
Alexa Whitman 10.2% 10.7% 11.0% 10.2% 10.4% 10.4% 10.7% 9.4% 7.1% 5.3% 3.4% 1.0%
Cole Bender 11.2% 12.2% 12.3% 12.1% 10.9% 12.2% 9.7% 6.9% 6.5% 3.5% 2.0% 0.6%
Patrick Cashin 5.6% 5.1% 6.0% 7.1% 7.8% 9.7% 9.9% 10.0% 11.0% 10.9% 9.8% 7.1%
Keaton Rose 2.9% 4.0% 4.2% 4.5% 5.1% 5.9% 7.1% 10.5% 9.8% 12.7% 14.8% 18.4%
Henry Jensen 2.1% 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 4.3% 4.5% 5.7% 7.8% 9.2% 12.0% 17.2% 28.2%
Nathaniel Adams 3.0% 3.0% 3.6% 4.4% 5.1% 5.8% 8.1% 8.2% 10.4% 12.7% 15.4% 20.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.