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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.66+2.20vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.47+1.47vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-1.13+6.39vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.19+1.52vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.54+1.61vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.44+0.24vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.34-1.15vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-1.79vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College-0.86-1.26vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-1.20-1.53vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-0.72-3.76vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.97-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Washington College1.6623.6%1st Place
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3.47Hampton University1.4723.3%1st Place
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9.39Drexel University-1.132.4%1st Place
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5.52Syracuse University0.199.5%1st Place
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4.9Rochester Institute of Technology0.4911.3%1st Place
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7.61University of Rochester-0.544.0%1st Place
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7.24Monmouth University-0.444.9%1st Place
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6.85University of Virginia-0.345.3%1st Place
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7.21SUNY Stony Brook-0.284.7%1st Place
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8.74Ocean County College-0.862.9%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Military Academy-1.202.5%1st Place
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8.24Rutgers University-0.723.5%1st Place
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9.15Princeton University-0.972.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 23.6% | 22.1% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 23.3% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 20.4% |
| Alexa Whitman | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Cole Bender | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Patrick Cashin | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Maxwell Penders | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Keaton Rose | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 15.5% |
| Henry Jensen | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 21.3% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.