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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.34+1.42vs Predicted
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2Northern Michigan University0.36+0.46vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.35+2.07vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.26-0.70vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.77+0.73vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.84-0.14vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.94-0.93vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.42-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Western Michigan University0.340.3%1st Place
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2.46Northern Michigan University0.360.3%1st Place
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5.07Purdue University-1.350.1%1st Place
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3.3Michigan Technological University-0.260.2%1st Place
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5.73Michigan State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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5.86Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
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6.07Hope College-1.940.0%1st Place
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5.09Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mabie | 31.2% | 29.1% | 19.1% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Douglas Adamski | 31.0% | 26.8% | 20.4% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christine McKee | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 10.6% |
| Timothy McElreath | 17.1% | 18.0% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Brenton Sirowatka | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 22.4% | 20.1% |
| Elliott Klose | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 19.0% | 25.9% |
| Kelly Petrasky | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 20.7% | 31.3% |
| Michael Small | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.