Race 10A

ocean-county-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Valerio Palamara 21.1% 20.3% 18.0% 13.6% 11.1% 7.0% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Patrick Cashin 4.9% 5.3% 7.9% 8.0% 9.0% 9.8% 11.1% 10.3% 11.5% 9.7% 7.8% 4.6%
Alexa Whitman 9.2% 10.5% 11.2% 9.8% 11.9% 11.8% 10.7% 9.6% 7.0% 4.8% 2.7% 0.9%
Stewart Gurnell 26.8% 23.0% 16.0% 13.2% 9.0% 5.5% 3.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Brendan Strein 5.5% 6.0% 6.4% 8.5% 8.8% 10.8% 10.2% 11.5% 10.8% 9.8% 7.6% 4.1%
Maxwell Penders 6.2% 6.9% 6.6% 8.2% 11.0% 11.1% 11.8% 9.6% 9.0% 9.7% 6.3% 3.6%
Cole Bender 12.2% 12.2% 13.8% 13.7% 11.7% 11.6% 10.0% 6.4% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4%
Abby Eckert 3.8% 4.2% 5.7% 7.5% 7.8% 10.1% 8.8% 11.1% 11.1% 11.6% 11.3% 7.1%
Yanni Tsetsekos 2.2% 2.4% 3.4% 3.5% 4.5% 5.3% 6.2% 9.3% 11.7% 12.1% 15.4% 24.0%
Henry Jensen 2.3% 2.4% 3.4% 4.5% 4.2% 5.0% 6.7% 7.8% 9.6% 14.2% 17.5% 22.7%
Keaton Rose 2.8% 3.4% 3.9% 4.5% 6.4% 6.2% 9.0% 10.1% 12.2% 11.9% 14.9% 14.6%
Evelyn Walsh 2.9% 3.3% 3.6% 5.0% 4.6% 5.9% 7.8% 9.8% 10.9% 13.2% 15.2% 17.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.