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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-1.15+4.43vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.78+0.46vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.26+0.97vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University0.33-0.92vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.77+1.44vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.42-0.14vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University0.36-3.93vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.35-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Hope College-1.150.0%1st Place
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2.46Western Michigan University0.780.3%1st Place
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3.97Michigan Technological University-0.260.1%1st Place
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3.08Western Michigan University0.330.2%1st Place
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6.44Michigan State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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5.86Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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3.07Northern Michigan University0.360.2%1st Place
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5.69Purdue University-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Fyfe | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 20.1% | 15.2% |
| Michael Niacaris | 32.4% | 25.8% | 19.9% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Timothy McElreath | 12.0% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 2.1% |
| Vytenis Karaitis | 20.7% | 19.8% | 21.3% | 19.3% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Brenton Sirowatka | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 21.5% | 38.8% |
| Michael Small | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 22.4% | 23.9% |
| Douglas Adamski | 21.2% | 22.3% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Christine McKee | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 21.9% | 21.8% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.