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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+3.55vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.44+0.85vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.37-0.04vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+0.13vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.93-1.30vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.48-0.12vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.70-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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2.85Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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2.96Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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4.13Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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3.7Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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3.94Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Bacon | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 22.2% | 17.4% |
| Colin MURPHY | 25.0% | 23.5% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Evan Read | 24.1% | 21.6% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Marcos Darcy | 11.6% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 18.3% | 9.6% |
| Gabriel Salk | 13.0% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 7.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 17.3% | 55.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.