Race 11A

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stewart Gurnell 24.3% 21.2% 17.2% 13.6% 8.2% 6.3% 4.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Cole Bender 12.2% 11.9% 13.0% 12.6% 10.9% 12.0% 8.1% 7.5% 5.2% 3.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.4%
Keaton Rose 2.9% 3.2% 4.5% 5.5% 5.5% 6.5% 8.0% 7.2% 8.9% 11.9% 10.8% 12.7% 12.3%
Valerio Palamara 21.5% 19.4% 16.1% 13.9% 10.9% 7.0% 5.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Alexa Whitman 8.9% 8.9% 10.3% 9.8% 12.4% 11.2% 10.1% 9.2% 8.5% 5.0% 3.1% 1.9% 0.7%
Abby Eckert 4.5% 4.5% 5.1% 6.7% 7.4% 7.1% 8.4% 9.5% 9.1% 11.2% 11.6% 8.5% 6.5%
Brendan Strein 4.7% 6.1% 6.0% 6.5% 7.9% 8.7% 10.7% 9.5% 9.4% 9.8% 8.8% 7.5% 4.3%
Maxwell Penders 5.7% 5.9% 7.4% 7.8% 10.0% 8.8% 9.8% 11.2% 8.9% 8.5% 8.2% 4.8% 3.0%
Henry Jensen 2.2% 2.8% 3.3% 3.4% 4.0% 5.0% 6.4% 6.6% 8.2% 9.9% 12.0% 14.3% 21.9%
Yanni Tsetsekos 2.1% 3.4% 2.5% 2.8% 4.5% 6.0% 5.8% 7.2% 7.4% 8.9% 12.2% 16.6% 20.5%
Patrick Cashin 4.8% 5.5% 6.2% 7.1% 7.4% 8.6% 8.7% 10.6% 10.9% 9.7% 8.5% 6.9% 5.0%
Anish Jayewardene 3.4% 3.9% 4.6% 6.1% 5.9% 5.9% 7.7% 8.7% 11.8% 9.8% 11.6% 11.9% 8.8%
Evelyn Walsh 2.9% 3.2% 3.8% 4.3% 4.9% 6.9% 6.7% 6.9% 8.8% 10.2% 11.2% 13.9% 16.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.