Race 12A

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stewart Gurnell 24.1% 23.8% 18.1% 13.6% 8.1% 5.0% 3.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 22.6% 19.1% 17.6% 14.2% 9.4% 7.3% 5.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Alexa Whitman 9.7% 9.7% 10.8% 11.5% 11.8% 11.4% 11.2% 9.1% 7.4% 4.2% 2.6% 0.8%
Maxwell Penders 6.0% 7.5% 7.6% 8.5% 10.4% 10.2% 10.1% 10.9% 10.0% 9.2% 6.5% 2.9%
Yanni Tsetsekos 2.2% 2.6% 3.4% 4.3% 4.2% 6.9% 6.7% 7.9% 10.0% 13.6% 16.8% 21.5%
Cole Bender 11.6% 12.4% 13.0% 13.8% 13.7% 11.0% 9.5% 7.1% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4%
Abby Eckert 4.7% 4.9% 5.5% 6.2% 8.1% 8.0% 9.7% 11.3% 11.2% 11.2% 10.9% 8.3%
Patrick Cashin 5.0% 5.5% 7.0% 7.4% 9.3% 10.7% 10.9% 9.3% 10.5% 10.0% 9.2% 5.1%
Keaton Rose 3.0% 3.0% 3.6% 4.5% 5.3% 7.1% 9.3% 9.6% 12.1% 13.7% 15.1% 13.7%
Evelyn Walsh 2.5% 2.7% 3.7% 4.2% 5.3% 7.3% 7.2% 10.0% 11.3% 11.5% 15.1% 19.1%
Brendan Strein 6.2% 6.2% 6.5% 8.4% 9.7% 9.6% 10.0% 11.6% 10.4% 9.2% 7.6% 4.5%
Henry Jensen 2.4% 2.5% 3.2% 3.4% 4.7% 5.5% 6.5% 9.0% 10.8% 13.9% 14.7% 23.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.