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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+2.60vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.44+0.86vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70+1.06vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+0.71vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.48+0.84vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69-1.93vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.37-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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2.86Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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4.06Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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4.07Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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2.85Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 17.1% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 5.5% |
| Colin MURPHY | 24.0% | 23.1% | 22.6% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Charles Proctor | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 8.7% |
| Margaret Bacon | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 24.6% | 17.8% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 53.7% |
| Marcos Darcy | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 10.3% |
| Evan Read | 26.1% | 22.3% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.