Race 13A

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stewart Gurnell 27.2% 20.5% 16.2% 11.9% 10.4% 6.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexa Whitman 9.0% 10.8% 10.8% 11.9% 11.9% 10.7% 10.2% 8.1% 6.2% 5.1% 3.2% 1.8% 0.3%
Yanni Tsetsekos 2.7% 1.9% 4.0% 4.3% 4.9% 5.0% 6.1% 6.8% 9.6% 10.0% 13.0% 13.7% 18.1%
Maxwell Penders 5.5% 6.2% 8.2% 8.3% 8.9% 10.8% 9.6% 10.2% 10.1% 9.2% 6.4% 4.2% 2.4%
Valerio Palamara 22.1% 19.8% 16.4% 12.8% 10.2% 7.6% 4.6% 3.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Keaton Rose 2.6% 3.1% 4.0% 4.3% 6.7% 6.0% 8.3% 9.2% 9.2% 10.8% 11.9% 13.0% 10.8%
Brendan Strein 4.0% 6.4% 6.2% 8.8% 8.5% 9.6% 9.8% 9.7% 10.7% 9.7% 7.5% 6.6% 2.8%
Abby Eckert 4.5% 4.9% 5.1% 6.5% 7.0% 8.6% 9.8% 10.0% 9.8% 11.2% 9.4% 6.9% 6.3%
Cole Bender 12.0% 13.2% 13.1% 13.1% 11.5% 11.1% 9.3% 6.9% 5.4% 2.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Patrick Cashin 4.1% 5.5% 6.9% 7.0% 7.3% 8.7% 9.2% 10.8% 10.9% 9.6% 9.6% 7.3% 3.1%
Evelyn Walsh 2.4% 2.9% 3.7% 4.7% 4.7% 5.4% 7.1% 8.4% 8.6% 11.7% 12.5% 15.2% 12.8%
Henry Jensen 1.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.5% 4.9% 4.9% 6.7% 8.3% 9.0% 10.0% 13.2% 14.6% 17.2%
Ajita Nair 2.0% 1.9% 2.6% 2.9% 3.2% 5.1% 5.1% 6.6% 7.7% 9.2% 11.4% 16.2% 26.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.