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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.44+1.84vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.93+1.63vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.37-0.03vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+0.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.70-0.90vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.32-1.34vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.48-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Dartmouth College3.440.3%1st Place
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3.63Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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2.97Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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4.07Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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4.1Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.66Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin MURPHY | 27.0% | 23.4% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 15.0% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 5.8% |
| Evan Read | 23.8% | 21.9% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Marcos Darcy | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 8.3% |
| Charles Proctor | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 9.7% |
| Margaret Bacon | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 22.5% | 18.7% |
| Ames Lyman | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 17.3% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.