Race 4A

icsa-regional-teams

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
William Delong 7.1% 7.0% 8.3% 9.8% 11.8% 9.9% 9.6% 10.8% 10.7% 8.5% 6.6%
Ricky Miller 17.8% 17.0% 16.3% 12.6% 11.1% 8.6% 7.1% 4.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
Sam Harris 9.2% 10.1% 9.8% 8.9% 10.6% 10.0% 10.8% 10.3% 9.2% 7.2% 4.0%
Nithya Balachander 19.9% 17.7% 14.3% 12.8% 10.8% 8.9% 7.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Colby Green 4.7% 5.8% 5.8% 6.6% 6.8% 8.6% 8.4% 11.5% 11.6% 14.2% 16.3%
Nok In Chan 7.3% 6.6% 8.3% 9.3% 9.1% 9.7% 10.9% 10.4% 10.5% 10.6% 7.2%
Luke Adams 12.2% 11.4% 12.0% 12.2% 10.0% 11.3% 10.1% 8.8% 5.5% 4.5% 1.9%
Penelope Weekes 4.8% 5.6% 5.9% 6.6% 7.9% 6.7% 9.2% 10.5% 12.6% 13.9% 16.3%
John O'Connell 3.7% 4.6% 5.5% 4.9% 6.2% 7.1% 8.2% 8.8% 11.3% 15.4% 24.1%
Caroline Henry 4.3% 5.8% 4.5% 6.7% 7.0% 8.2% 8.6% 10.0% 12.4% 14.9% 17.5%
Brian Zettlemoyer 9.0% 8.5% 9.1% 9.7% 8.8% 11.0% 9.6% 9.9% 10.5% 8.3% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.