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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.31+1.10vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University2.38+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago0.60+4.23vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.25+1.81vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.25-1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.18-0.07vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University1.25-1.29vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.91-2.55vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois0.38-2.38vs Predicted
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11Denison University-0.41-1.73vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-1.08-1.53vs Predicted
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13University of Saint Thomas-0.90-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Wisconsin3.310.4%1st Place
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3.47Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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7.23University of Chicago0.600.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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3.74University of Minnesota2.250.2%1st Place
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5.93University of Michigan1.180.0%1st Place
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5.71Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.45Ohio State University0.910.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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9.27Denison University-0.410.0%1st Place
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10.47Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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10.2University of Saint Thomas-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Evensen | 42.5% | 28.2% | 15.6% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 16.2% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Kaplan | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 3.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Thompson | 15.5% | 15.6% | 20.7% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Beriont | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Aras Karaitis | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Jamie Gay | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 8.6% | 2.0% |
| William Jaquinde | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 19.9% | 21.8% | 17.2% |
| Colleen Mooney | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 27.2% | 41.7% |
| Eric Miller | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 25.6% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.