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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+3.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+2.02vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.93+0.67vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.70+0.09vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.37-1.99vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.44-3.12vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.48-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.02Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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3.67Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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4.09Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.01Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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2.88Dartmouth College3.440.3%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Bacon | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 18.5% |
| Marcos Darcy | 11.3% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 10.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 14.0% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 5.5% |
| Charles Proctor | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 9.8% |
| Evan Read | 23.9% | 21.6% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Colin MURPHY | 27.1% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.