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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+3.52vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.44+0.85vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70+1.06vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.93-0.27vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.48+0.88vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.37-3.00vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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2.85Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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4.06Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.73Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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3.0Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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3.96Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Bacon | 9.4% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 23.0% | 16.4% |
| Colin MURPHY | 24.2% | 25.0% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Charles Proctor | 11.5% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 16.6% | 9.2% |
| Gabriel Salk | 15.3% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 6.1% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 55.7% |
| Evan Read | 23.8% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Marcos Darcy | 13.3% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 16.3% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.