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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+2.63vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32+2.60vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70+1.08vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+0.08vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.37-1.98vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.44-3.14vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.48-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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4.6Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.08Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.08Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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3.02Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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2.86Dartmouth College3.440.3%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 16.0% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 6.7% |
| Margaret Bacon | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 23.3% | 16.6% |
| Charles Proctor | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 9.4% |
| Marcos Darcy | 11.3% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 10.1% |
| Evan Read | 23.3% | 22.8% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Colin MURPHY | 26.5% | 20.9% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Ames Lyman | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 16.7% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.