← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.44+1.84vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.69+2.02vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.37-0.03vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.70+0.07vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.32-0.31vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.93-2.32vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University1.48-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.84Dartmouth College3.440.3%1st Place
-
4.02Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
-
2.97Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
-
4.07Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
-
4.69Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
-
3.68Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
-
5.73Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin MURPHY | 27.4% | 22.1% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Marcos Darcy | 11.0% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 9.3% |
| Evan Read | 23.2% | 22.9% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Charles Proctor | 12.5% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 9.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 23.5% | 18.2% |
| Gabriel Salk | 14.5% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 5.8% |
| Ames Lyman | 4.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.