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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+2.61vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.37+0.94vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32+1.68vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+0.08vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.70-0.92vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.44-3.13vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.48-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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2.94Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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4.68Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.08Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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4.08Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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2.87Dartmouth College3.440.3%1st Place
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5.73Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 16.7% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 6.0% |
| Evan Read | 23.6% | 24.2% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Margaret Bacon | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 22.9% | 18.5% |
| Marcos Darcy | 10.8% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 9.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 11.1% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 9.8% |
| Colin MURPHY | 25.5% | 22.2% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.