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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.37+1.94vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.44+0.83vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32+1.67vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+0.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.70-0.90vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.93-2.33vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.48-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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2.83Dartmouth College3.440.3%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.07Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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4.1Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.67Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Read | 24.9% | 22.5% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 2.2% |
| Colin MURPHY | 26.1% | 23.5% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 8.3% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 22.6% | 18.3% |
| Marcos Darcy | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 9.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 10.1% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 9.7% |
| Gabriel Salk | 15.5% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 6.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.