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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+2.99vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.93+1.64vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.44-0.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.70+0.10vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.37-2.00vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.32-1.31vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.48-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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3.64Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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2.84Dartmouth College3.440.3%1st Place
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4.1Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.0Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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4.69Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Darcy | 13.4% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 10.2% |
| Gabriel Salk | 14.9% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
| Colin MURPHY | 25.9% | 21.9% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Charles Proctor | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 8.7% |
| Evan Read | 23.1% | 21.9% | 20.1% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Margaret Bacon | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 24.7% | 18.6% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.