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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.44+1.82vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32+2.64vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69+1.05vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.93-0.30vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.48+0.87vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.70-1.93vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.37-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Dartmouth College3.440.3%1st Place
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4.64Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.05Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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3.7Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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4.07Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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2.85Dartmouth College3.370.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin MURPHY | 27.6% | 23.5% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Margaret Bacon | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 24.2% | 17.2% |
| Marcos Darcy | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 15.7% | 9.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 14.5% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 5.1% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 17.9% | 54.1% |
| Charles Proctor | 11.4% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 10.7% |
| Evan Read | 25.7% | 23.0% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.