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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+5.71vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.01+2.42vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.72-0.39vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.44+1.43vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.20-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.78+0.29vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-1.35+0.73vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.57-2.34vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-1.78-0.14vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-1.71-1.00vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-1.77-2.07vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-1.63-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.685.2%1st Place
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4.42Syracuse University0.0113.0%1st Place
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2.61Hampton University0.7232.8%1st Place
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5.43Rochester Institute of Technology-0.448.9%1st Place
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4.16Washington College0.2014.5%1st Place
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6.29University of Virginia-0.785.8%1st Place
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7.73Ocean County College-1.353.7%1st Place
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5.66Princeton University-0.577.8%1st Place
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8.86University of Rochester-1.781.7%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Military Academy-1.712.2%1st Place
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8.93Drexel University-1.771.6%1st Place
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8.2Monmouth University-1.632.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Schaefer | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 13.0% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 32.8% | 23.9% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Kennedy Jones | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mason Chapman | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Zachary Brooks | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 9.4% |
| William Roberts | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Gould | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 22.3% |
| Gil Hankinson | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 25.6% |
| Jasper Sinatra | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 21.3% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.