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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+2.96vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.44+0.84vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32+1.67vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.37-0.97vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.93-1.29vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.48-0.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.70-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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2.84Dartmouth College3.440.3%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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3.03Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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3.71Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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3.96Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Darcy | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 9.5% |
| Colin MURPHY | 25.9% | 22.5% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Margaret Bacon | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 24.3% | 17.9% |
| Evan Read | 22.9% | 20.4% | 19.8% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 12.9% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 7.5% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 53.7% |
| Charles Proctor | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.