Race 10B

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Palamara 34.4% 23.5% 16.2% 11.3% 7.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 13.6% 15.4% 16.2% 13.9% 12.2% 10.1% 7.1% 5.7% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Mason Chapman 5.5% 7.0% 8.3% 8.8% 9.7% 11.8% 10.4% 10.8% 9.2% 8.9% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7%
William Roberts 7.8% 8.8% 9.8% 9.6% 11.2% 10.1% 11.3% 11.0% 8.6% 6.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.4%
Jessica Schaefer 5.7% 4.6% 6.3% 8.1% 8.3% 9.2% 11.2% 11.0% 11.2% 10.2% 8.2% 4.7% 1.3%
Shay Gualdoni 12.2% 13.7% 13.5% 15.4% 12.4% 10.5% 8.6% 5.8% 4.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Kate Faranetta 2.5% 4.2% 5.1% 6.1% 6.3% 7.3% 7.3% 10.2% 10.7% 12.7% 12.4% 10.6% 4.6%
Gil Hankinson 1.9% 2.5% 3.2% 3.8% 3.8% 4.7% 6.8% 6.6% 8.8% 11.7% 14.4% 20.2% 11.6%
Jasper Sinatra 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 3.4% 5.3% 5.3% 7.4% 8.0% 9.8% 10.8% 14.6% 16.8% 10.2%
Zachary Brooks 3.1% 4.5% 4.5% 5.2% 6.2% 7.2% 8.5% 10.0% 12.2% 13.6% 11.7% 9.2% 4.0%
Nicholas Gould 1.8% 2.5% 2.6% 3.3% 4.3% 6.0% 7.0% 7.5% 9.3% 12.0% 15.6% 16.4% 11.4%
Ethan Hall 8.3% 9.4% 10.0% 10.3% 12.2% 12.8% 9.9% 9.3% 8.2% 4.8% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Joseph Bitterman 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 2.2% 3.3% 4.1% 4.8% 7.8% 16.2% 55.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.