Race 7B

mcsa-coed-qualifiers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Leif Evensen 39.3% 28.7% 16.5% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Kaplan 2.6% 2.5% 4.5% 5.9% 6.9% 9.0% 8.3% 11.7% 16.3% 16.7% 11.7% 3.9%
Matthew Thompson 14.1% 16.6% 15.9% 14.2% 15.3% 9.6% 8.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Medora Sletten 4.0% 6.2% 8.8% 10.7% 10.3% 11.8% 14.6% 12.0% 8.6% 8.8% 3.7% 0.5%
Nathaniel Walden 4.7% 7.5% 7.5% 10.6% 11.5% 11.3% 11.5% 12.2% 10.1% 7.5% 4.9% 0.7%
Lauren Beriont 4.8% 6.0% 8.0% 8.2% 10.6% 12.0% 10.9% 12.8% 12.5% 8.4% 5.0% 0.8%
Geoff Pedrick 18.1% 17.9% 17.2% 15.6% 10.4% 9.5% 6.1% 3.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Jamie Gay 1.4% 3.5% 4.7% 4.3% 5.8% 6.8% 8.9% 10.5% 13.4% 16.4% 17.4% 6.9%
Adam Gilbertson 3.6% 3.4% 6.0% 9.0% 9.5% 12.2% 11.7% 11.6% 13.2% 12.1% 6.4% 1.3%
Aras Karaitis 5.9% 5.6% 8.4% 10.3% 10.7% 11.9% 13.5% 12.8% 9.1% 8.0% 2.9% 0.9%
Colleen Mooney 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 2.9% 4.4% 7.2% 17.2% 59.8%
William Jaquinde 0.6% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 3.4% 2.8% 3.4% 6.3% 8.6% 13.9% 30.6% 25.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.