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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.94+1.97vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-1.97+7.48vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.52+3.72vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.49+2.81vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.22+0.45vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.58+0.43vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.78-0.14vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.10-2.89vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.77-2.42vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.09-4.75vs Predicted
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11Indiana University0.20-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97Rice University0.9428.6%1st Place
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9.48Middlebury College-1.970.9%1st Place
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6.72Clemson University-0.525.4%1st Place
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6.81University of Minnesota-0.495.9%1st Place
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5.45University of New Hampshire-0.229.1%1st Place
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6.43Bates College-0.586.3%1st Place
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6.86Bentley University-0.784.5%1st Place
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5.11Purdue University-0.109.2%1st Place
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6.58Hope College-0.776.2%1st Place
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5.25Marquette University-0.099.0%1st Place
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4.34Indiana University0.2014.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 28.6% | 21.7% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aengus Onken | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 56.5% |
| William Avery | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 7.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 8.1% |
| Marykate Hanus | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Harrison Nash | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 8.6% |
| Nathanael Green | 9.2% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Ella Sligh | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 7.8% |
| Eli Erling | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Sunny Sun | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.