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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.93+2.62vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+2.03vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.37-0.02vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.48+1.87vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.70-0.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.32-1.35vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.44-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Connecticut College2.930.2%1st Place
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4.03Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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2.98Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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4.11Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.65Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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2.75Dartmouth College3.440.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Salk | 16.7% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 6.6% |
| Marcos Darcy | 10.6% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 8.4% |
| Evan Read | 23.5% | 22.7% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Ames Lyman | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 54.3% |
| Charles Proctor | 10.0% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 9.5% |
| Margaret Bacon | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 24.2% | 18.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 28.3% | 21.2% | 19.3% | 16.1% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.