Race 11B

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Shay Gualdoni 14.4% 13.6% 14.9% 15.8% 11.6% 10.2% 8.6% 6.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Kennedy Jones 16.2% 16.4% 14.8% 15.3% 13.8% 9.2% 6.9% 4.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 33.8% 25.0% 17.5% 10.7% 6.6% 3.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Chapman 5.8% 6.8% 8.6% 9.5% 10.5% 11.8% 12.6% 12.5% 10.2% 7.7% 2.8% 1.2%
Jessica Schaefer 4.6% 6.7% 7.5% 7.9% 9.2% 11.2% 12.5% 11.8% 11.8% 9.7% 5.7% 1.4%
Ethan Hall 8.2% 9.8% 11.2% 11.7% 13.7% 12.7% 11.2% 9.6% 5.5% 4.1% 2.1% 0.2%
William Roberts 6.5% 8.6% 11.1% 10.2% 11.7% 12.8% 11.5% 10.7% 8.6% 5.1% 2.8% 0.4%
Gil Hankinson 2.2% 2.9% 2.9% 4.2% 5.0% 4.7% 6.6% 8.3% 12.8% 16.9% 20.5% 13.0%
Zachary Brooks 3.8% 4.2% 5.0% 6.2% 6.7% 8.0% 9.8% 11.5% 13.5% 14.9% 11.5% 5.1%
Nicholas Gould 2.2% 2.6% 3.2% 4.0% 4.1% 7.0% 8.1% 9.8% 13.8% 14.3% 19.6% 11.4%
Jasper Sinatra 1.6% 2.6% 2.8% 3.8% 5.3% 6.0% 8.0% 10.6% 13.0% 15.8% 18.7% 11.8%
Joseph Bitterman 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.9% 1.8% 2.8% 2.5% 3.8% 5.8% 9.4% 15.7% 55.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.