Race 12B

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kennedy Jones 14.8% 14.9% 16.1% 14.2% 11.5% 11.1% 7.3% 5.3% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Shay Gualdoni 13.4% 12.8% 14.9% 13.3% 13.2% 9.9% 8.2% 6.7% 4.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Ethan Hall 7.5% 9.5% 10.4% 11.8% 11.9% 11.3% 9.6% 8.7% 8.0% 6.2% 2.9% 1.6% 0.5%
William Roberts 7.1% 8.4% 9.2% 10.5% 9.0% 11.1% 12.9% 11.1% 9.0% 5.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
Jessica Schaefer 6.0% 6.2% 6.3% 7.5% 9.3% 9.8% 10.2% 11.8% 10.1% 10.1% 7.3% 4.2% 1.1%
Stefano Palamara 31.7% 25.1% 16.0% 13.2% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gil Hankinson 1.8% 2.4% 3.1% 4.2% 4.0% 5.9% 6.3% 6.5% 8.8% 12.2% 16.0% 17.2% 11.5%
Mason Chapman 5.7% 7.5% 7.6% 7.6% 9.8% 11.7% 10.6% 10.0% 8.8% 8.8% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1%
Kate Faranetta 3.8% 3.5% 4.2% 4.4% 6.6% 6.6% 9.5% 10.1% 11.9% 11.5% 13.0% 10.8% 4.3%
Jasper Sinatra 2.1% 2.3% 3.0% 3.2% 4.6% 5.1% 5.9% 7.0% 10.3% 13.7% 14.2% 18.3% 10.2%
Zachary Brooks 3.6% 4.0% 4.3% 4.8% 7.0% 7.1% 9.3% 11.3% 11.8% 11.1% 11.2% 10.0% 4.3%
Nicholas Gould 1.9% 2.6% 3.8% 3.7% 4.8% 4.7% 6.6% 6.9% 9.8% 10.9% 14.2% 18.7% 11.5%
Joseph Bitterman 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 0.9% 1.8% 2.2% 3.6% 4.7% 5.8% 8.8% 13.5% 54.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.