Race 13B

ocean-county-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jessica Schaefer 4.5% 6.3% 6.5% 7.8% 8.8% 9.4% 10.9% 9.4% 11.2% 10.1% 7.3% 5.9% 1.8%
Stefano Palamara 34.2% 23.4% 17.5% 12.0% 6.3% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 14.1% 14.5% 15.2% 14.2% 12.7% 10.3% 8.7% 4.6% 2.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Ethan Hall 8.8% 9.4% 10.4% 11.7% 11.2% 11.2% 10.9% 8.5% 8.3% 4.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.3%
William Roberts 7.0% 9.8% 9.3% 10.2% 10.5% 9.8% 11.0% 9.7% 8.3% 7.5% 4.5% 2.2% 0.3%
Tucker Ballou 12.0% 12.2% 13.9% 12.9% 12.8% 12.1% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Mason Chapman 5.3% 7.9% 7.0% 8.8% 10.0% 11.5% 10.8% 11.3% 9.4% 8.5% 5.4% 3.1% 0.9%
Gil Hankinson 2.1% 2.9% 3.1% 3.0% 4.3% 5.1% 6.0% 7.9% 8.6% 11.9% 14.2% 17.3% 13.6%
Zachary Brooks 3.5% 3.6% 5.1% 5.0% 6.5% 7.0% 8.5% 12.6% 10.8% 11.4% 11.8% 10.2% 4.2%
Jasper Sinatra 2.1% 3.0% 3.1% 4.2% 4.3% 5.5% 6.2% 7.4% 10.0% 11.8% 14.5% 17.5% 10.4%
Kate Faranetta 3.5% 3.9% 4.9% 4.9% 6.0% 7.1% 7.4% 10.7% 10.8% 13.0% 11.9% 11.2% 4.7%
Nicholas Gould 2.1% 2.0% 2.9% 3.9% 5.1% 5.5% 6.7% 7.4% 10.7% 11.3% 15.7% 15.9% 10.8%
Joseph Bitterman 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 2.6% 2.4% 4.8% 5.3% 9.2% 14.6% 53.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.