← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+6.16vs Predicted
-
2Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+8.86vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+4.67vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia3.54+1.30vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+3.93vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.38+3.34vs Predicted
-
7Columbia University2.55+1.87vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-1.80vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College2.63-0.54vs Predicted
-
10Washington College1.76+1.68vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University1.74+0.80vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University4.26-8.42vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.68-4.84vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.62-1.57vs Predicted
-
15Ocean County College-0.11+1.84vs Predicted
-
16Rutgers University0.75-1.01vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University3.20-10.50vs Predicted
-
19Princeton University0.31-2.83vs Predicted
-
20Queen's University0.63-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.16U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
-
10.86Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
-
7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
-
5.3University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
-
8.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.0%1st Place
-
9.34George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
-
8.87Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
-
6.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
-
8.46SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
-
11.68Washington College1.760.0%1st Place
-
11.8Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
-
3.58Fordham University4.260.2%1st Place
-
8.16University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
-
12.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
16.84Ocean County College-0.110.0%1st Place
-
14.99Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
-
6.5Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
-
16.17Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
-
15.06Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Prieto | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Don Hause III | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Conor Cashel | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Heist | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Colin Keil | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Olin Paine | 22.7% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Greathouse | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Michael Suchernick | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 20.2% | 42.7% |
| Courtney Williams | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 11.8% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 22.9% | 26.0% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.