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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.68+0.76vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+2.09vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.33+0.10vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.03-1.48vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7231.7%1st Place
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2.76University of New Hampshire0.6822.8%1st Place
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5.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.773.9%1st Place
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4.1Bates College-0.338.9%1st Place
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3.52Middlebury College0.0312.8%1st Place
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3.1Maine Maritime Academy0.4120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 31.7% | 25.6% | 20.3% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 22.8% | 24.9% | 21.8% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 3.0% |
| Kate Myler | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 60.4% |
| Harry Stevenson | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 29.6% | 20.6% |
| Walter Chiles | 12.8% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 21.6% | 9.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 20.0% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.