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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.45vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.18vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.33+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+1.08vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.03-1.53vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.68-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7231.4%1st Place
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3.18Maine Maritime Academy0.4117.6%1st Place
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4.06Bates College-0.339.4%1st Place
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5.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.774.3%1st Place
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3.47Middlebury College0.0313.8%1st Place
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2.77University of New Hampshire0.6823.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 31.4% | 25.4% | 20.5% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 17.6% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 20.9% | 15.3% | 6.8% |
| Harry Stevenson | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 29.0% | 19.8% |
| Kate Myler | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 60.2% |
| Walter Chiles | 13.8% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 21.8% | 9.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 23.4% | 23.8% | 20.9% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.