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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.56vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.68-0.16vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.33+0.23vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.03-1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7229.0%1st Place
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3.22Maine Maritime Academy0.4119.2%1st Place
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2.84University of New Hampshire0.6823.1%1st Place
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4.23Bates College-0.339.7%1st Place
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3.67Middlebury College0.0312.8%1st Place
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4.47University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.526.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 29.0% | 25.1% | 21.0% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 19.2% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 9.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 23.1% | 23.9% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 4.5% |
| Harry Stevenson | 9.7% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 22.0% | 30.6% |
| Walter Chiles | 12.8% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 16.4% |
| Marshall Rodes | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 22.5% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.