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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+6.22vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+5.65vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+5.79vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.20+2.43vs Predicted
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5Fordham University4.26-1.45vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38+3.44vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.54-1.62vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.76+3.92vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-3.01vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.74+1.77vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.55-2.17vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.34vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.63-4.64vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University0.75+1.07vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.62-3.88vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.31-0.94vs Predicted
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18Queen's University0.63-2.80vs Predicted
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19Ocean County College-0.11-1.95vs Predicted
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20Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-9.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.0%1st Place
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6.43Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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3.55Fordham University4.260.2%1st Place
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9.44George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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11.92Washington College1.760.0%1st Place
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5.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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11.77Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.83Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.36SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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15.07Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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12.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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16.06Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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15.2Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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17.05Ocean County College-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.5Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Prieto | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 23.3% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 12.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Heist | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Elliott Morrill | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Conor Cashel | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Russom | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Julia Paxton | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Williams | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 19.9% | 11.5% |
| Thomas Greathouse | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 21.7% | 24.9% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 15.7% |
| Michael Suchernick | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 41.8% |
| Christian Geary | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.