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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.68+1.67vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.47vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.33+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+1.18vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.93vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.03-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of New Hampshire0.6825.3%1st Place
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2.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7230.0%1st Place
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4.08Bates College-0.339.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.7%1st Place
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3.07Maine Maritime Academy0.4118.9%1st Place
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3.53Middlebury College0.0314.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 25.3% | 24.0% | 22.7% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 30.0% | 26.2% | 21.8% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| Harry Stevenson | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 19.4% | 30.9% | 18.2% |
| Kate Myler | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 61.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 18.9% | 20.0% | 21.8% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 5.3% |
| Walter Chiles | 14.1% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 21.1% | 20.8% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.