← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.46vs Predicted
-
2Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.04vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.33+1.03vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+1.13vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire0.68-2.22vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College0.03-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7230.2%1st Place
-
3.04Maine Maritime Academy0.4119.8%1st Place
-
4.03Bates College-0.339.7%1st Place
-
5.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.773.5%1st Place
-
2.78University of New Hampshire0.6823.4%1st Place
-
3.57Middlebury College0.0313.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 30.2% | 26.6% | 21.2% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 19.8% | 21.4% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 5.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 9.7% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 28.6% | 18.0% |
| Kate Myler | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 61.3% |
| Grace Cannon | 23.4% | 23.6% | 21.9% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 3.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 13.3% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 22.6% | 22.0% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.