← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.82vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.22vs Predicted
-
3University of New Hampshire0.68-0.46vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-0.22vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-0.33-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.82Maine Maritime Academy0.4120.9%1st Place
-
2.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7235.1%1st Place
-
2.54University of New Hampshire0.6825.4%1st Place
-
3.78University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.528.5%1st Place
-
3.64Bates College-0.3310.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 20.9% | 21.2% | 24.5% | 21.5% | 11.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 35.1% | 28.3% | 20.2% | 12.0% | 4.3% |
| Grace Cannon | 25.4% | 26.8% | 23.8% | 16.6% | 7.4% |
| Marshall Rodes | 8.5% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 22.7% | 42.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 10.2% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 27.2% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.