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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.68+1.53vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.23vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.33+0.62vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.17vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of New Hampshire0.6825.9%1st Place
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2.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7235.3%1st Place
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3.62Bates College-0.339.8%1st Place
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2.83Maine Maritime Academy0.4120.5%1st Place
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3.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.528.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 25.9% | 26.6% | 23.3% | 16.6% | 7.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 35.3% | 26.9% | 22.1% | 11.5% | 4.3% |
| Harry Stevenson | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 26.2% | 34.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 20.5% | 21.8% | 23.7% | 22.6% | 11.5% |
| Marshall Rodes | 8.4% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 23.3% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.