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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+6.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+6.84vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+4.62vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.38+5.46vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.63+3.76vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.68+2.27vs Predicted
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7Fordham University4.26-3.49vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.54-2.50vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.76+2.58vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.55-1.33vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.20-4.55vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-6.79vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.74-2.32vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.62-2.53vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University0.75-1.15vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.31-0.91vs Predicted
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18Ocean County College-0.11-1.08vs Predicted
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19Queen's University0.63-3.60vs Predicted
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20Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-9.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.0%1st Place
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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9.46George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.76SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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3.51Fordham University4.260.2%1st Place
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5.5University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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11.58Washington College1.760.0%1st Place
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8.67Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.45Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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11.68Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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14.85Rutgers University0.750.0%1st Place
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16.09Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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16.92Ocean County College-0.110.0%1st Place
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15.4Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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10.49Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Prieto | 5.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Don Hause III | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Connors | 3.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 24.7% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Heist | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Conor Cashel | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Greathouse | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Courtney Williams | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 13.5% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 23.6% | 24.3% |
| Michael Suchernick | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 22.0% | 41.3% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 15.0% |
| Christian Geary | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.