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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.31+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.25+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas1.26+3.14vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.18+2.35vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University1.25+1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago0.60+0.76vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame1.25-1.93vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University2.38-5.39vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois0.38-1.89vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.08-0.27vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University0.91-4.91vs Predicted
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13Denison University-0.41-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of Wisconsin3.310.4%1st Place
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3.94University of Minnesota2.250.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Saint Thomas1.260.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Michigan1.180.0%1st Place
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6.16Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Chicago0.600.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Notre Dame1.250.1%1st Place
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3.61Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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8.11University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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10.73Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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7.09Ohio State University0.910.0%1st Place
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9.81Denison University-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Evensen | 39.2% | 28.3% | 16.3% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thompson | 12.6% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Medora Sletten | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Beriont | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Aras Karaitis | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Paul Kaplan | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 4.6% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 18.9% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Gay | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 4.7% |
| Colleen Mooney | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 9.2% | 16.7% | 57.7% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| William Jaquinde | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 29.4% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.