← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rice University0.94+1.98vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota-0.49+4.61vs Predicted
-
3University of New Hampshire-0.22+2.37vs Predicted
-
4Bates College-0.58+2.54vs Predicted
-
5Bentley University-0.78+1.89vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University-0.09-0.80vs Predicted
-
7Indiana University0.20-2.60vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University-0.52-1.36vs Predicted
-
9Purdue University-0.10-3.73vs Predicted
-
10Hope College-0.77-3.42vs Predicted
-
11Middlebury College-1.97-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.98Rice University0.9428.9%1st Place
-
6.61University of Minnesota-0.496.2%1st Place
-
5.37University of New Hampshire-0.228.9%1st Place
-
6.54Bates College-0.585.0%1st Place
-
6.89Bentley University-0.785.2%1st Place
-
5.2Marquette University-0.0910.2%1st Place
-
4.4Indiana University0.2012.7%1st Place
-
6.64Clemson University-0.525.9%1st Place
-
5.27Purdue University-0.109.4%1st Place
-
6.58Hope College-0.776.3%1st Place
-
9.51Middlebury College-1.971.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 28.9% | 21.5% | 16.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 7.5% |
| Marykate Hanus | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Harrison Nash | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 5.6% |
| Andrew Blagden | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 9.6% |
| Eli Erling | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Sunny Sun | 12.7% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| William Avery | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 7.3% |
| Nathanael Green | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Ella Sligh | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 14.1% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.