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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.68+0.44vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.32vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.33-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7234.3%1st Place
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2.44University of New Hampshire0.6827.6%1st Place
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2.68Maine Maritime Academy0.4121.1%1st Place
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3.38Bates College-0.3312.0%1st Place
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4.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.774.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 34.3% | 30.2% | 22.2% | 10.8% | 2.5% |
| Grace Cannon | 27.6% | 26.9% | 23.7% | 17.8% | 4.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 21.1% | 25.1% | 26.3% | 19.7% | 7.8% |
| Harry Stevenson | 12.0% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 35.5% | 19.8% |
| Kate Myler | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 16.4% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.