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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-1.99+4.39vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.90vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.20-0.40vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.10-1.36vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.67-1.20vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.49-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Middlebury College-1.992.1%1st Place
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2.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0321.7%1st Place
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2.6Maine Maritime Academy0.2027.2%1st Place
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2.64University of New Hampshire0.1027.4%1st Place
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3.8Bates College-0.6710.8%1st Place
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3.67University of Minnesota-0.4910.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Lane | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 72.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 21.7% | 21.4% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 2.5% |
| Ella Beauregard | 27.2% | 25.1% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 9.2% | 1.5% |
| Sam Harris | 27.4% | 23.2% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 10.8% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 20.2% | 28.4% | 12.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 10.8% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 27.0% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.