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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.91vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.20+0.65vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.99+2.36vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.49-0.40vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.67-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.10-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0320.5%1st Place
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2.65Maine Maritime Academy0.2026.4%1st Place
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5.36Middlebury College-1.992.8%1st Place
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3.6University of Minnesota-0.4912.8%1st Place
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3.77Bates College-0.6710.9%1st Place
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2.7University of New Hampshire0.1026.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Leshaw | 20.5% | 23.4% | 20.6% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 3.5% |
| Ella Beauregard | 26.4% | 23.4% | 22.1% | 16.6% | 10.2% | 1.4% |
| Evelyn Lane | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 12.8% | 71.5% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 22.1% | 24.9% | 9.3% |
| Amanda Yolles | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 20.7% | 28.0% | 11.8% |
| Sam Harris | 26.7% | 22.3% | 21.0% | 16.7% | 10.7% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.