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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.20+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.49+1.61vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.67+0.79vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.99+1.40vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.12vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.10-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Maine Maritime Academy0.2024.6%1st Place
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3.61University of Minnesota-0.4913.4%1st Place
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3.79Bates College-0.6710.5%1st Place
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5.4Middlebury College-1.992.7%1st Place
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2.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0321.2%1st Place
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2.64University of New Hampshire0.1027.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Beauregard | 24.6% | 23.9% | 22.4% | 18.2% | 9.0% | 1.8% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 13.4% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 26.7% | 9.8% |
| Amanda Yolles | 10.5% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 20.5% | 29.4% | 11.2% |
| Evelyn Lane | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 72.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 21.2% | 23.1% | 20.7% | 19.7% | 12.8% | 2.6% |
| Sam Harris | 27.6% | 23.1% | 21.4% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.