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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.94vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-1.99+3.39vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.49+0.64vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.36vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.67-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.10-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0321.8%1st Place
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5.39Middlebury College-1.992.2%1st Place
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3.64University of Minnesota-0.4912.3%1st Place
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2.64Maine Maritime Academy0.2026.9%1st Place
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3.77Bates College-0.6710.4%1st Place
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2.62University of New Hampshire0.1026.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Leshaw | 21.8% | 20.7% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 3.5% |
| Evelyn Lane | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 12.8% | 71.9% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 12.3% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 22.5% | 25.7% | 9.5% |
| Ella Beauregard | 26.9% | 23.1% | 22.1% | 16.8% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Amanda Yolles | 10.4% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 28.5% | 11.8% |
| Sam Harris | 26.5% | 25.4% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.