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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.96vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.49+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.10-0.35vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.42vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.99+0.37vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.67-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0319.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Minnesota-0.4912.8%1st Place
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2.65University of New Hampshire0.1027.9%1st Place
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2.58Maine Maritime Academy0.2027.4%1st Place
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5.37Middlebury College-1.992.4%1st Place
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3.81Bates College-0.6710.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Leshaw | 19.1% | 21.7% | 23.2% | 19.8% | 12.8% | 3.4% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 12.8% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 21.7% | 26.1% | 9.3% |
| Sam Harris | 27.9% | 22.9% | 20.8% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 2.3% |
| Ella Beauregard | 27.4% | 26.0% | 20.0% | 16.5% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| Evelyn Lane | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 12.5% | 71.5% |
| Amanda Yolles | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 29.1% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.