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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.20+1.52vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.10+0.60vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.49-0.48vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.67-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Maine Maritime Academy0.2027.3%1st Place
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2.6University of New Hampshire0.1025.8%1st Place
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2.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0322.8%1st Place
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3.52University of Minnesota-0.4912.9%1st Place
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3.55Bates College-0.6711.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Beauregard | 27.3% | 25.6% | 22.8% | 16.4% | 8.0% |
| Sam Harris | 25.8% | 26.2% | 21.1% | 16.7% | 10.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 22.8% | 21.9% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 14.5% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 12.9% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 24.3% | 32.9% |
| Amanda Yolles | 11.3% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 22.9% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.