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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.94+1.96vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-0.52+4.56vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.22+2.40vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.49+2.72vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.58+1.49vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.10-0.90vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.78-0.06vs Predicted
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8Indiana University0.20-3.66vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.09-3.81vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.97-0.49vs Predicted
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11Hope College-0.77-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Rice University0.9428.4%1st Place
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6.56Clemson University-0.525.8%1st Place
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5.4University of New Hampshire-0.228.7%1st Place
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6.72University of Minnesota-0.496.1%1st Place
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6.49Bates College-0.585.2%1st Place
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5.1Purdue University-0.1010.1%1st Place
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6.94Bentley University-0.785.3%1st Place
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4.34Indiana University0.2014.5%1st Place
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5.19Marquette University-0.0910.2%1st Place
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9.51Middlebury College-1.971.0%1st Place
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6.8Hope College-0.774.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Slipper | 28.4% | 20.8% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
William Avery | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 7.4% |
Marykate Hanus | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
Tiernan O'Kane | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 7.3% |
Harrison Nash | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 5.9% |
Nathanael Green | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
Andrew Blagden | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 9.5% |
Sunny Sun | 14.5% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
Eli Erling | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
Aengus Onken | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 57.0% |
Ella Sligh | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.