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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joe Slipper 28.4% 20.8% 17.9% 12.8% 8.8% 5.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
William Avery 5.8% 6.4% 7.3% 8.2% 8.2% 9.8% 11.1% 11.1% 12.4% 12.4% 7.4%
Marykate Hanus 8.7% 9.8% 10.7% 10.7% 11.6% 11.6% 10.8% 10.3% 8.8% 5.4% 1.7%
Tiernan O'Kane 6.1% 6.7% 6.3% 6.3% 7.6% 9.6% 10.4% 11.6% 14.1% 14.0% 7.3%
Harrison Nash 5.2% 7.5% 7.1% 7.8% 8.1% 10.5% 12.0% 11.1% 12.4% 12.4% 5.9%
Nathanael Green 10.1% 10.1% 11.8% 12.6% 12.6% 11.1% 10.1% 8.8% 6.7% 5.1% 1.1%
Andrew Blagden 5.3% 5.3% 6.1% 7.1% 8.3% 7.8% 9.8% 12.2% 13.4% 15.2% 9.5%
Sunny Sun 14.5% 14.0% 14.5% 13.4% 12.2% 9.8% 8.2% 6.6% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6%
Eli Erling 10.2% 11.2% 9.9% 11.8% 11.9% 11.4% 9.9% 10.2% 6.5% 5.4% 1.6%
Aengus Onken 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 2.7% 3.2% 4.6% 5.2% 7.4% 13.2% 57.0%
Ella Sligh 4.8% 6.4% 6.5% 7.3% 8.2% 9.4% 10.0% 11.6% 13.4% 14.7% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.