Race 9B

mcsa-coed-qualifiers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Leif Evensen 41.8% 25.5% 17.4% 7.5% 4.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Thompson 13.0% 18.1% 17.6% 13.2% 14.0% 9.7% 6.8% 5.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Geoff Pedrick 17.4% 16.8% 18.2% 14.9% 12.8% 9.5% 5.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Medora Sletten 3.9% 7.1% 7.5% 10.8% 10.4% 12.5% 14.1% 10.4% 11.2% 6.7% 4.8% 0.6%
Aras Karaitis 4.7% 7.5% 8.1% 10.6% 11.0% 11.3% 11.8% 11.5% 11.0% 7.5% 4.0% 1.0%
Adam Gilbertson 3.6% 4.7% 6.5% 7.5% 7.6% 9.7% 10.9% 14.6% 12.3% 12.0% 8.5% 2.1%
Paul Kaplan 2.9% 4.0% 4.1% 5.9% 7.1% 8.2% 9.2% 13.4% 14.8% 13.0% 13.2% 4.2%
Jamie Gay 1.8% 3.4% 4.6% 4.8% 5.0% 7.2% 7.9% 11.0% 12.2% 19.0% 15.9% 7.2%
Nathaniel Walden 4.6% 5.9% 7.5% 11.4% 13.0% 12.8% 12.9% 10.1% 11.0% 7.3% 2.6% 0.9%
Colleen Mooney 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 1.9% 1.8% 2.4% 2.3% 2.3% 4.0% 10.2% 17.5% 56.1%
William Jaquinde 1.2% 1.3% 1.1% 1.7% 2.0% 3.8% 4.3% 5.2% 8.3% 15.2% 29.0% 26.9%
Lauren Beriont 4.7% 5.2% 6.8% 9.8% 10.7% 11.3% 13.1% 12.4% 12.5% 8.1% 4.4% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.