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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.12+0.35vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+1.07vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.31+0.69vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-1.99+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.45-1.13vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University-1.98-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.35Virginia Tech1.1272.5%1st Place
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3.07University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.839.9%1st Place
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3.69Penn State University-1.316.7%1st Place
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4.54William and Mary-1.992.7%1st Place
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3.87University of Maryland-1.454.9%1st Place
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4.5Georgetown University-1.983.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 72.5% | 21.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 9.9% | 27.9% | 26.7% | 20.4% | 11.3% | 3.7% |
| Joaquin Merino | 6.7% | 17.3% | 21.8% | 22.1% | 19.7% | 12.6% |
| Alexa Bodor | 2.7% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 24.4% | 33.9% |
| Carter Saunders | 4.9% | 15.8% | 20.7% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 15.8% |
| Thomas Clauson | 3.4% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 22.1% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.