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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.12+0.34vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+1.06vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-1.99+1.54vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.31-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.45-1.14vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University-1.98-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.34Virginia Tech1.1273.2%1st Place
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3.06University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.839.4%1st Place
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4.54William and Mary-1.992.6%1st Place
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3.67Penn State University-1.316.6%1st Place
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3.86University of Maryland-1.455.5%1st Place
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4.53Georgetown University-1.982.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 73.2% | 20.9% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 9.4% | 28.8% | 27.1% | 19.5% | 11.2% | 4.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 2.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 23.2% | 35.8% |
| Joaquin Merino | 6.6% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 23.2% | 19.6% | 11.7% |
| Carter Saunders | 5.5% | 14.1% | 20.6% | 23.5% | 21.4% | 14.8% |
| Thomas Clauson | 2.7% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 24.6% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.