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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.12+0.57vs Predicted
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2American University0.05+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+0.49vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.31+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.45-0.69vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.99-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57Virginia Tech1.1259.6%1st Place
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2.56American University0.0519.8%1st Place
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3.49University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.838.3%1st Place
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4.2Penn State University-1.314.3%1st Place
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4.31University of Maryland-1.455.2%1st Place
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4.87William and Mary-1.992.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 59.6% | 27.6% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Karl Wagerson | 19.8% | 33.5% | 25.9% | 14.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Henry Powell | 8.3% | 17.3% | 24.7% | 24.1% | 18.2% | 7.3% |
| Joaquin Merino | 4.3% | 8.5% | 17.0% | 23.1% | 27.4% | 19.9% |
| Carter Saunders | 5.2% | 7.1% | 14.7% | 22.1% | 25.8% | 25.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 2.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 23.2% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.